Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 0.176459 0.189494 0.203078 0.218310 0.234932 0.252543 0.272641
2025-05-04 0.152963 0.171868 0.192667 0.217326 0.245869 0.277986 0.317032
2025-05-11 0.138289 0.160058 0.184878 0.215430 0.252238 0.295423 0.350317
2025-05-18 0.126990 0.150466 0.178004 0.212936 0.256418 0.309216 0.378873
2025-05-25 0.122216 0.147902 0.178816 0.219127 0.270838 0.335672 0.424271
2025-06-01 0.114125 0.140516 0.172956 0.216232 0.273160 0.346490 0.449745
2025-06-08 0.107502 0.134431 0.168169 0.214119 0.275971 0.357655 0.475927
2025-06-15 0.100190 0.126969 0.161073 0.208364 0.273313 0.360991 0.491124
2025-06-22 0.095067 0.122032 0.156920 0.206147 0.275095 0.370198 0.514859
2025-06-29 0.092277 0.119989 0.156422 0.208746 0.283515 0.388963 0.553493
2025-07-06 0.087825 0.115456 0.152279 0.205971 0.284028 0.396247 0.575271
2025-07-13 0.084458 0.112225 0.149726 0.205226 0.287303 0.407579 0.603783
2025-07-20 0.083187 0.111921 0.151332 0.210691 0.300256 0.434521 0.659460
2025-07-27 0.079929 0.108684 0.148651 0.209757 0.303577 0.447026 0.693033
2025-08-03 0.076666 0.105273 0.145528 0.207938 0.305335 0.457044 0.723050
2025-08-10 0.073481 0.101826 0.142172 0.205549 0.305983 0.465205 0.750356
2025-08-17 0.072852 0.102063 0.144215 0.211482 0.320078 0.495970 0.819256
2025-08-24 0.069913 0.098752 0.140800 0.208708 0.319895 0.502965 0.846240
2025-08-31 0.067360 0.095911 0.137965 0.206683 0.320775 0.511712 0.876962
2025-09-07 0.064083 0.091853 0.133102 0.201166 0.315497 0.509469 0.886840
2025-09-14 0.061834 0.089277 0.130418 0.199040 0.315804 0.516933 0.915682
2025-09-21 0.060815 0.088546 0.130565 0.201532 0.324113 0.539053 0.974763
2025-09-28 0.058657 0.085967 0.127697 0.198871 0.323278 0.544525 1.001062